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2019 A-Level · Paper 2 · Question 9

2019 H2 Maths Paper 2, Question 9

Hypothesis testing 9 marks test of a mean
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Part (i)

2 marks

Since the manager wants to find out whether the mean resistance of the resistors differs from 750750 ohms, without any prior indication of the direction of any difference, a 2-tail test should be used.

Let μ\mu ohms be the population mean resistance of the 750750 ohm resistors.

H0:μ=750H_{0}:\mu = 750
H1:μ≠750H_{1}:\mu \neq 750

Part (ii)

5 marks

We first find the sample mean.

x‾\overline{x}
=742+771+768+738+769+752+742+7668= \frac{742 + 771 + 768 + 738 + 769 + 752 + 742 + 766}{8}
=60488= \frac{6048}{8}
=756= 756

∴\therefore the mean of the sample of 88 resistors is 756756 ohms.

Approach

The population variance is given as 100 ohms2100\ {ohms}^{2}, so we do not need to estimate it from the sample. Since the individual resistances are normally distributed, X‾\overline{X} is exactly normal for any sample size, and a ZZ-test is used directly (no Central Limit Theorem needed here).

Under H0H_{0},

X‾∼N(750, 1008).\overline{X} \sim N\left( 750,\ \frac{100}{8} \right).

Standardising, the test statistic is

Z=X‾−750100/8∼N(0,1) under H0.Z = \frac{\overline{X} - 750}{\sqrt{100/8}} \sim N(0,1)\ \text{under}\ H_{0}.

Using x‾=756\overline{x} = 756,

z=756−750100/8z = \frac{756 - 750}{\sqrt{100/8}}
=1.70 (3 s.f.)= 1.70\ (3\ s.f.)

By GC, carrying out a 1-sample ZZ-test with x‾=756, n=8, σ2=100\overline{x} = 756,\ n = 8,\ \sigma^{2} = 100 under H0:μ=750H_{0}:\mu = 750, the p-value is

p=0.0897 (3 s.f.)p = 0.0897\ (3\ s.f.)

Since p=0.0897>0.05p = 0.0897 > 0.05, we do not reject H0H_{0} at the 5%5\% significance level.

To check your answer: z=1.70<1.960z = 1.70 < 1.960, the 2-tail critical value at the 5% level, which agrees with p>0.05p > 0.05. ✓

∴\therefore there is insufficient evidence, at the 5%5\% significance level, to conclude that the mean resistance of the 750750 ohm resistors differs from 750750 ohms.

Part (iii)

2 marks

Since nothing is known about the distribution of the resistances of the 12501250 ohm resistors, the manager cannot assume they are normally distributed, so the test would need to differ in two ways.

A large sample (e.g. n≥30n \geq 30) would need to be taken, so that, by the Central Limit Theorem, the sample mean X‾\overline{X} is approximately normally distributed regardless of the underlying distribution of the individual resistances.

Since the population variance of the 12501250 ohm resistors is also unknown, the unbiased estimate of the population variance,

s2=1n−1∑(x−x‾)2,s^{2} = \frac{1}{n - 1}\sum\left( x - \overline{x} \right)^{2},

computed from the sample, would be used in place of the population variance in the test statistic.

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